We have now had two busy days of early voting in Delaware. There is tons of excitement in the air, and we are seeing lots of voters come out earlier than every before. It would seem that finally, elections matter! Well, how MUCH do they matter to Delawareans and to which party do they matter more? I am not going to break this down into Absentee vs Early voting, but rather I will review the total combined votes that we have so far, and this total tally is after the FIRST day of Early Voting, so this report excludes Saturday early voting, as we do not have that data yet.
Of the 55,760 total votes that have come in so far, this is the breakdown:
Even though we have seen long lines up and down the state on the first day of early voting, this is still a small percentage of the total registered voters that have come out to vote so far, only 8% voter turn out for both parties, with only a slightly higher voter turnout of 8.6% of total registered Republicans that have voted so far. And as you can see below, the total democrat votes outnumber the total Republican votes. If ALL "other" parties voted Republican, then we would have a 49/51 split, democrats favor.
But something entirely different happened in the 38th District. In the 38 District, voter turnout so far is a whopping 21% for BOTH parties! With a higher amount of registered Republicans in the 38th, this clearly puts Republicans in the lead in the 38th. Question, did the overt GOTV advertising of billboards and newspaper ads activate just as many democrats as it did Republicans to come out to vote, percentage wise? When you are the leading party, this is a solid tactic and clearly works in the 38th with 48% Republican votes vs 33% democrat votes cast. When you are the lagging party, however, you never want to activate the opposition through overt campaigning. In this case, more targeted and covert GOTV methods are preferred, such as direct mailers, direct texting, canvassing and phone banking. In Sussex County overall, there is a small Republican lead over democrats, 42% Republicans vs 40% democrat voters.
My Suggestion
These voter turnout numbers need to be analyzed RD by RD, especially in our vital races, such as the 4th Rep. Jeff Hilovsky, 20th Nikki Miller, Kim Hoey Stevenson Senate District 6, and 14th Mike Simpler races, and adjustments made ASAP on how to target our Republican base to come out to vote. I recommend continued direct texting and phone banking with continued neighborhood canvassing by candidates. Continue to target Republicans more than any other group. Let's see what the next few days' results bring!!
If you are a candidate or RD and you would like to see the raw data for yourself, email info@38thdrcp.com .
The Data
Republican Party 17,901 cast votes out of 206,770 Total Registered Republicans = 8.6% Voter Turnout
American/Conservative/Constitutional Parties 80
Total 17,981 (32%)
Democrat Party 28,107 cast votes out of 353,212 Total Registered Democrats = 8% Voter Turnout
Green Party 30
Liberal Party 22
Working Family Party 16
Total 28,175 (51%)
Independent Party 1,037
Libertarian 78
Mandalorian 4
No Label Party 13
No Party 8,461
Total 9,593 (17%)
And in the Mighty 38th?
Republican Party 2,433 (48%) out of 11,659 Registered R's = 21% voter turn out
Other 937 (18%) out of 6,847 other = 14% voter turn out
Democrat Party 1,660 (33%) out of 7,775 Registered D's = 21% voter turn out
Total 5,030
Sussex County
Republican Party 11,008 (42%)
Other 4,607 (18%)
Democrat Party 10,447 (40%)
Total 26,062
38th District Republican Club Dinner Meeting
Our next 38th District Republican Club meeting will be a fun evening with dinner, friends and shopping at Summer Salts in Bethany Beach. Our guest speaker will be candidate for US Senate, Eric Hansen and DE GOP Vice Chair, Jim Weldin. Please save the date, Monday, October 28th, 6pm. Please bring a silent auction item. I have forms that you can give to businesses to let them know where their donation will be going. And please plan to bring yourselves and a friend new to the Club. $20 entrance ticket per person. Please email me your silent auction item so that I may create a bid sheet. Thank you for the donations coming in so far!
Volunteer Zoom Meeting Monday
Next Election Volunteer and EDC Zoom Meeting will be MONDAY November 4, 6:30pm. Email me if you can join and I will send you a link.
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Do you want to get more involved locally? The 38th District includes Bethany Beach, South Bethany, Fenwick Island, Ocean View, Millville, Selbyville and Frankford. YOU can make a difference! Email info@38thdrcp.com for more information. Also, sign up for the State GOP e-Newsletters here.
Listen to WGMD 92.7 and 98.5 for local news!
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38th DRCP
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Frankford, DE 19945
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Email: info@38thdrcp.com
Upcoming Meetings
38th Club Meeting, Monday, October 28th, 6:30pm, Summer Salts, Bethany Beach
Early Voting Oct 25-29 11am-7pm, Oct 30-Nov 3, 7a-7p
General Election, November 5, 2024
38th Club Meeting, November 25th, 6:30pm, South Coastal Library, Bethany Beach
We welcome your support as we support conservative values and responsible government.
This newsletter is intended for informational purposes only. The content provided is for general information and entertainment purposes, and should not be construed as professional advice. The views and opinions expressed in this newsletter are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of the Club. Readers are encouraged to seek professional guidance or conduct their own research when making decisions based on the information provided in this newsletter. The Club does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or usefulness of any information presented in this newsletter and will not be held liable for any errors or omissions. Website paid for by the 38th District Republican Club PAC and not authorized by any candidate or candidate’s committee.
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